Using the Markov regime-switching model, this paper examines factor loadings on macroeconomic, market sentiment and other variables that may explain North American investment-grade and high-yield credit default swap indices (CDX) over the period 2003–2011. In both crisis and tranquil market...

We develop a two-step methodology to facilitate an examination of the impact of oil shocks on stock returns. Oil price volatility is monitored in this study through the use of a regime-switching model, with the presence of jumps subsequently being taken into consideration to examine the...

In this paper, we discuss three different approaches to select an equivalent martingale measure for the valuation of contingent claims under a Markovian regime-switching Lévy model. These approaches are the game theoretic approach, the Esscher transformation approach and the general equilibrium...

Nonlinear dynamic factor analysis models extend standard linear dynamic factor analysis models by allowing time series processes to be nonlinear at the latent level (e.g., involving interaction between two latent processes). In practice, it is often of interest to identify the phases—namely,...

This paper complements a recently published study (Janczura and Weron in AStA-Adv Stat Anal 96(3):385–407, <CitationRef CitationID="CR38">2012</CitationRef>) on efficient estimation of Markov regime-switching models. Here, we propose a new goodness-of-fit testing scheme for the marginal distribution of such models. We consider models...</citationref>

This paper studies the correlation and volatilities of the bond and stock markets in a regime- switching bivariate GARCH model. We extend the univariate Markov-Switching GARCH of Haas, Mittnik and Paolella (2004) into a bivariate Markov-switching GARCH model with Conditional Constant Correlation...

The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, it reformulates the model of endogenous credit cycles by Matsuyama (2013, Sections 2-4). It is shown that the same dynamical system that generates the equilibrium trajectory can be obtained under a much simpler set of assumptions. Such a...