This paper analyses future trends for intrastate conflict in Africa up to 2050 using the International Futures (IFs … seven key correlations associated with intrastate conflict in Africa. It then points to a number of reasons for the changing … and forecasts trends for intrastate conflict in West, Southern, Horn/East and Central Africa. The authors expect large …

The consequences of successful public health interventions for social violence and conflict are largely unknown. This …-retroviral therapy (ART) to combat the HIV/AIDS pandemic - in Africa. To identify the effect, we combine exogenous variation in the scope … violent events in African countries and sub-national regions. The effect pertains to social violence and unrest, not civil war …

Civilians who have fled violent conflict and settled in neighboring countries are integral to processes of civil war … violence. In a survey of 1,120 Syrian refugees in Turkey conducted in 2016, we use experiments to examine attitudes towards two … critical phases of conflict termination - a ceasefire and a peace agreement. We test the malleability of refugees' attitudes to …

We investigate the impact of the political representation of minority groups on the incidence of ethnic conflict in … India. We code data on Hindu-Muslim violence and Muslim political representation in India and leverage quasi … results in a large and significant decline in Hindu-Muslim conflict. The average result is driven by richer states and those …