Both from theoretical and practical viewpoints, I argue that the New Keynesian model's forward-looking IS curve should be derived by quadratic approximation. This leaves uncertainty in the basic three-equation model. After adding exogenous AR(1) processes, I examine the results by numerical...

Both from theoretical and practical viewpoints, I argue that the New Keynesian model's forward-looking IS curve should be derived by quadratic approximation. This leaves uncertainty in the basic three-equation model. After adding exogenous AR(1) processes, I examine the results by numerical...

We examine the degree and sources of disagreement between the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) staff about the appropriate policy rate for the period 1987-2011. For that purpose, we compute a counterfactual interest rate for the Fed's staff , based on its...

Abstract: This paper presents a theoretical analysis of the simulated impact of uncertainty in a New Keynesian model. In order to incorporate uncertainty, the basic three-equation framework is modified by higher-order approximation resulting in a non-linear (dynamic) IS curve. Using impulse...

In Reaktion auf die Coronakrise hat das deutsche Parlament bereits im März 2020 die Möglichkeit zur Mietstundung und die Aussetzung der Insolvenzantragspflicht beschlossen. Diese temporären Maßnahmen sollten die Zeit überbrücken, bis staatliche Hilfe die Betroffenen erreicht. Da private...