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Chapter 14 Survey Expectations
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1
Survey expectations
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem
;
Weale, Martin R.
-
2005
. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for
heterogeneity
of expectations is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276172
Saved in:
2
Heterogeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in the US stock market
Pierdzioch, Christian
;
Reitz, Stefan
;
Ruelke, Jan-Christoph
-
2014
We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectation-formation process in the U.S. stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384168
Saved in:
3
Heterogeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in the US stock market
Pierdzioch, Christian
;
Reitz, Stefan
;
Ruelke, Jan-Christoph
-
2014
We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectation-formation process in the U.S. stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407532
Saved in:
4
Heteroeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in US stock market
Pierdzioch, Christian
;
Reitz, Stefan
;
Ruelke, Jan-Christoph
-
2015
We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectationformation process in the US stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479018
Saved in:
5
Survey Expectations
Pesaran, M. Hashem
;
Weale, Martin
-
Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR), …
-
2005
. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for
heterogeneity
of expectations is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537354
Saved in:
6
Survey Expectations
Pesaran, M.H.
;
Weale, M.
-
Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge
-
2005
. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for
heterogeneity
of expectations is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650505
Saved in:
7
Survey Expectations
Pesaran, M. Hashem
;
Weale, Martin R.
-
2021
. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for
heterogeneity
of expectations is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318329
Saved in:
8
Forecasting Binary Outcomes
Lahiri, Kajal
-
2012
summarize specification,
estimation
, and evaluation of binary response models for the purpose of forecasting in a unified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097218
Saved in:
9
Rationality and Forecasting Accuracy of Exchange Rate Expectations : Evidence from Survey-Based Forecasts
Ince, Onur
-
2019
We examine rationality, forecasting accuracy, and economic value of the survey-based exchange rate forecasts for 10 developed and 23 developing countries at the 3-, 12-, and 24-month horizons. Using the data from two surveys for the period from 2004 to 2012, we find strong evidence that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903718
Saved in:
10
Quantifying qualitative survey data : new insights on the (ir)rationality of firms' forecasts
Botsis, Alexandros
;
Görtz, Christoph
;
Sakellarēs, …
-
2020
Using a novel dataset that contains qualitative firm survey data on sales forecasts as well as balance-sheet data on realized sales, we document that only major forecast errors are predictable and display autocorrelation. This result is a particular violation of the Full Information Rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174792
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