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In this paper we provide evidence on the presence of seasonal unit roots in aggregate U.S. data. The analysis is conducted using the approach developed by Hyllebcrg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (1990). We first derive the mechanics and asyrnptotics of the HEGY procedure for monthly data and use Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229151
This paper argues that analysis of seasonal fluctuations can shed light on the nature of business cycle fluctuations. The fundamental reason is that in many instances identifying restrictions about seasonal fluctuations are more believable than analogous restrictions about non-seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778850
This paper examines the seasonal cycle in the manufacturing sector of the U.S. economy. we present estimates of the seasonal patterns in monthly data for 2-digit industries, and we demonstrate the similarity of the seasonal cycle and the business cycle in manufacturing with respect to several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312494
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015102637
The purpose of this paper is to build consistent, integrated datasets to investigate whether various disaggregated data can shed light on the possible sources of the statistical discrepancy. Our strategy is first to use disaggregated data to estimate consistent sets of input-output models that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325485
This paper introduces new estimates of recent productivity developments in the United States, using an appropriate theoretical framework for aggregating industry MFP to sectors and the total economy. Our work sheds light on the sources of the continued strong performance of U.S. productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005512972
This paper is an exploration in the relative performance and sources of productivity growth of U.S. private businesses across industries and legal structure. In order to assemble the disparate data from various sources to develop a coherent productivity database, we developed a general system to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393940
This discussion paper led to a publication in <A href="http://books.google.nl/books?hl=nl&lr=&id=rqM2GtTl9NcC&oi=fnd&pg=PA309&dq=allesintitel:+%22Integrating+Expenditure+and+Income+Data%22&ots=k7CbcJlBhn&sig=8cJoITJe8wPXfrHVXFl99x_biXQ#v=onepage&q&f=false">(D.W. Jorgenson, J.S. Landefeld, W.D. Nordhaus, eds.) 'A New Architecture for the U.S. National Accounts', NBER Studies in Income and Wealth</A>, vol. 66, 309-54, University of Chicago Press, 2006.<P>The purpose of this paper is to build consistent,...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257094
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005096205
The purpose of this paper is to build consistent, integrated datasets to investigate whether various disaggregated data can shed light on the possible sources of the statistical discrepancy. Our strategy is first to use disaggregated data to estimate consistent sets of input-output models that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005795574