Are housing returns predictable? If so, do households take them into account when making their housing consumption and portfolio decisions? We document the existence of housing return predictability in the U.S. at the aggregate, census region, and state level. We study a portfolio choice model...

We study a model of portfolio choice with housing in which house price is predictable. Housing is illiquid in that a transaction cost must be paid when the house is sold. We show that two state variables aff ect the agent's decisions: (i) the wealth-houseratio, and (ii) the time-varying mean...

In this empirical analysis, we estimate the impact of vacancy, neglect associated with material property-tax delinquency, and foreclosures on the value of neighboring homes using parcel level observations. Numerous studies have estimated the impact of foreclosures on neighboring properties, and...

We use new property-level data to estimate the price of land from 2000 to 2013 for nearly the universe of detached single-family homes in the Washington, DC metro area and characterize the housing boom-bust cycle in land and house prices at a fine geography. The data show that land prices were...

Understanding potential spillovers from the attributes and actions of neighborhood residents onto the value of surrounding properties and neighborhoods is central to both the theory of urban economics and the development of efficient housing policy. This paper measures the capitalization of...

Understanding potential spillovers from the attributes and actions of neighborhood residents onto the value of surrounding properties and neighborhoods is central to both the theory of urban economics and the development of efficient housing policy. This paper measures the capitalization of...

This Inquiry final report brings together three separate research projects to examine the capacity of Australia’s smaller cities to assist in managing population growth, including international and national migration; and provides advice on which policy instruments and programs are most likely...

Empirical research on cities starts with a spatial equilibrium condition: workers and firms are assumed to be indifferent across space. This condition implies that research on cities is different from research on countries, and that work on places within countries needs to consider population,...

Ireland experienced a recent boom-bust cycle in the housing market. While the housing market in Ireland has been analysed at the national level there has been no research on the relationship between fundamentals and the housing market at the sub-national level. In this paper the spatial...

During the last three decades, the household has become the focus of a wide range of socio-demographic processes, including the destabilization of traditional patterns of marriage, cohabitation, and divorce; the growing fluidity of ties of kin and friendship; and increasingly complex transitions...