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Economists often estimate a subset of their model parameters outside the model and let the decision-makers inside the model treat these point estimates as-if they are correct. This practice ignores model ambiguity, opens the door for misspecification of the decision problem, and leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603385
The goal programming (GP) is a well-known approach applied to multi-criteria decision making (M-DM). It has been used in many domains and the literature offers diverse extensions of this procedure. On the other hand, so far, some evident analogies between M-DM under certainty and scenario-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611488
We study how information affects equilibria and welfare in games. For an agent, more precise information about an unknown state of the world leads to a mean-preserving spread of beliefs. We provide necessary and sufficient conditions to obtain either a non-increasing mean or a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616375
This paper derives a robust online equity trading algorithm that achieves the greatest possible percentage of the final wealth of the best pairs rebalancing rule in hindsight. A pairs rebalancing rule chooses some pair of stocks in the market and then perpetually executes rebalancing trades so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657487
We conduct a lottery experiment to assess the predictive importance of simple choice process metrics (SCPMs) in forecasting risky 50/50 gambling decisions using different types of machine learning algorithms as well as traditional choice modeling approaches. The SCPMs are recorded during a fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794509
This paper formulates and solves an economic decision problem of the acquisition of costly information in data-driven decision making. The paper assumes an agent predicting a random variable utilizing several costly explanatory variables. Prior to the decision making, the agent learns about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013394381
The picture fuzzy set (PFS) is a powerful tool to collect and handle large amounts of uncertain assess information in a new light. In this study, we explore some distance measures for the PFSs and propose Picture fuzzy ordered weighted distance measure and Picture fuzzy hybrid weighted distance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462033
Economists often estimate economic models on data and use the point estimates as a stand-in for the truth when studying the model's implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision problem to misspecification, and ultimately leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014467757
We investigate whether alternative asset classes should be included in optimal portfolios of the most prominent investor personae in the Behavioral Finance literature, namely, the Cumulative Prospect Theory, the Markowitz and the Loss Averse types of investors. We develop a stochastic spanning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014477251
Common ratio effects should be ruled out if subjects' preferences satisfy compound independence, reduction of compound lotteries, and coalescing. In other words, at least one of these axioms should be violated in order to generate a common ratio effect. Relying on a simple experiment, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369276