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Electricity price forecasting has been a topic of significant interest since the deregulation of electricity markets worldwide. The New Zealand electricity market is run primarily on renewable fuels, and so weather metrics have a significant impact on electricity price and volatility. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354157
credibility theory to loss-reserves estimation, but this literature rarely addresses questions about the method's asymptotic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969904
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two typically used mortality models in the context of annuity pricing. In this regard, we explore whether the stressed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232782
This paper describes a package which uses MATLAB functions and routines to estimate VARs, local projections and other models with classical or Bayesian methods. The toolbox allows a researcher to conduct inference under various prior assumptions on the parameters, to produce point and density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617682
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may either choose to receive annuity payouts, calculated based on a mortality table agreed to at contract inception, or … receive the accumulated capital as a lump sum. Considering stochastic mortality improvements, such an option could be of … substantial value. Whenever mortality improves less than originally expected, the policyholder will choose the lump sum and buy an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003828653
Government-issued longevity bonds would allow longevity risk to be shared efficiently and fairly between generations. In exchange for paying a longevity risk premium, the current generation of retirees can look to future generations to hedge their aggregate longevity risk. There are also wider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118088
Changes in mortality rates have an impact on the life insurance industry, the financial sector (as a significant … related to the accuracy of central mortality rates is of key importance. Recently, a temperature-related mortality (TRM) model …) model and several other of its extensions, when mortality-experience data from the United Kingdom is used. There is a need …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902135
Motivated by a recent demographic study establishing a link between macroeconomic fluctuations and the mortality index …-linked variant of the Lee-Carter mortality model. Furthermore, interest rates and stock prices react to changes in GDP, which itself … when the reaction of mortality rates to changes in GDP is incorporated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906039