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Great Recession and its aftermath poses a challenge because of the effective lower bound. We devise a Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349390
We investigate U.S. monetary and fiscal policy regime interactions in a model, where regimes are determined by latent autoregressive policy factors with endogenous feedback. Policy regimes interact strongly: Shocks that switch one policy from active to passive tend to induce the other policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657240
rates observed in actual Eurozone data. The estimation procedure implemented is a classical structural method based on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211505
In this paper, we consider estimation of a time-varying parameter model for a forward-looking monetary policy rule, by … achieve efficiency in estimation by employing the standardized prediction errors for inflation and GDP gap as bias correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069025
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the behavior of monetary authorities in Tunisia and Egypt, in response to changes in macroeconomic variables over time based on LSTR model. In this sense, we estimate Taylor-type equations for short-term interest rate in Tunisia and Egypt using quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499480
We analyse the implications of asymmetric monetary policy rules by estimating Markov-switching DSGE models for the euro area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB’s response to inflation was more forceful when inflation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210663
This paper reviews the recent literature on monetary policy rules. To organize the discussion, we exposit the monetary policy design problem within a simple baseline theoretical framework. We then consider the implications of adding various real word complications. We concentrate on developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197574
This paper reconsiders the narratives surrounding Japan's economic performance since the 1980s in relation to the experiences of the U.S. and the Eurozone. There are important differences between these three economies and some striking parallels. It is found that the poor reputation of the Bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816140
Numerous papers have tried to understand housing’s role in the economy and have not reached an agreement. In this paper we turn to the asymmetric relationship between housing and the overall economic activity. We find that the relation between building permits and GDP is regime-dependent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529356
We investigate U.S. monetary and fiscal policy regime interactions in a model, where regimes are determined by latent autoregressive policy factors with endogenous feedback. Policy regimes interact strongly: shocks that switch one policy from active to passive tend to induce the other policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942192