The current exchange rate policy is being argued about its vulnerability, especially at presence of an adverse external situation. In this context, it is important to check how market faces the credibility of such policy. This paper provides a way of measuring this credibility, using market's...

From a financial standpoint, the mechanics of the carry trade has been recently examined in Brunnermeier et al. (2009). They showed that shocks to interest rate differentials lead to carry trade activity and to significant reactions in the bilateral exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar that...

Informed traders may prefer the options market to the stock market for reasons including the leverage effect, transaction costs, restrictions on short sale. Many studies try to predict future returns of stocks using informed traders' behavior in the options market. In this study, we examine...

We show that options written on stocks with low prices are over-priced. This effect is robust to a variety of tests, controlling for common stock- and option- risk characteristics, and to reasonable transaction costs. Natural experiments corroborate this finding; options tend to become...

Divergence in investor beliefs is an important driver of the negative relation between option trading volume and future stock returns. We find a strong negative relation between disagreement-based option trades and future stock returns, and this relation is markedly amplified when the underlying...

Prior literature finds information is reflected in option markets before stock markets using daily and weekly trading volume, but evidence is mixed at the intraday level. Using novel intraday signed option volume data, we develop a composite option trading score (OTS) and document its stock...

This paper explores the source(s) of commodity futures momentum and an associated anomaly. We decompose the 12-month conventional momentum strategy into single-month momentum components. Historical information in the cross-section of returns at 10 to 11 months prior to portfolio formation...

We investigate the investability of commodity risk premia in China. Previously documented standard momentum, carry and basis-momentum factors are not investable due to the unique liquidity patterns along the futures curves in China. However, dynamic rolling and strategic portfolio weights...

This paper examines semi-strong form of efficient market hypothesis by taking September 2001 quarter earnings announcement as an event. The study is based on 146 companies having minimum 20 percent foreign holdings. We have used event study methodology, t test, Runs test and sign test to test...