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Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
The notion of compensation for systematic risk is well-ingrained in the finance literature. Whether explicitly considering the security market line's Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), this notion is the basis for numerous empirical tests. The concept that an increase in the level of systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350351
This study investigates how prices respond to unanticipated crude oil inventory shocks and how quickly the markets incorporate news in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures markets by using structured vector autoregression (SVAR) models based on EIA inventory report announcement and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311571
We explore the stock market and option implied volatility response of the oil and gas industry to four policy events … Drilling (CAAR -10.5%) most severely affected. This is further supported by an increase in implied volatility and by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014096533
In this paper, I show that the variance of Fama-French factors, the variance of the momentum factor, as well as the correlation between these factors, predict an important fraction of the time-series variation in post-1990 aggregate stock market returns. This predictability is particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150662
Equity index implied volatility functions are known to be excessively skewed in comparison with implied volatility at … index implied volatility from simulating the 30 dimensional return system of all DAX constituents. Option prices are …-dependence coupled with asymmetric correlation response to negative news is essential to explain the index implied volatility skew …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092464
exposure to changes in the underlying stock price (delta), and exposure to changes in implied volatility (vega) are removed …-to-market, momentum, short-term reversal, volatility, or option market factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094978
The ad hoc Black-Scholes (AHBS) model is one of the most widely used option valuation models among practitioners models. The main contribution of this study is methodological. We have two main results: (1) we make the empirical observation that typically the call and put sneers are discontinuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097543
exposure to changes in the price of the underlying stock (delta), and exposure to changes in implied volatility (vega) are …-known market, size, book-to-market, momentum, and short-term reversal factors. Additional volatility, stock, and option market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111682
This study investigates how prices respond to unanticipated crude oil inventory shocks and how quickly the markets incorporate news in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures markets by using structured vector autoregression (SVAR) models based on EIA inventory report announcement and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307507