Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...

This study employs a conditional factor model in order to investigate the time-varying profitability of currency carry trades. To that end, I estimate conditional alphas and betas on the popular dollar and carry factors through the use of a nonparametric approach. The empirical results...

This paper investigates the predictability of jumps in currency markets and shows the implications for carry trades. Formulating new currency jump analyses, we propose a general method to estimate the determinants of jump sizes and intensities. We employ a large panel of high-frequency data to...

This paper investigates the momentum and reversal signals in exchange rate jumps in currency markets. Following exchange rate jumps, currencies from emerging markets appreciate, but currencies from developed economies depreciate. Stepwise multiple testing confirms non-jump exchange rate changes...

This work brings together two distinct pieces of evidence concerning, at the macro level, international distributions of incomes and their dynamics, and, at the micro level, the size distributions of firms and the properties of their growth rates. First, our empirical analysis provides a new...

We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...

We propose a new semiparametric observation-driven volatility model where the form of the error density directly influences the volatility dynamics. This feature distinguishes our model from standard semiparametric GARCH models. The link between the estimated error density and the volatility...

This paper presents a short survey on limit theorems for certain functionals of semimartingales, which are observed at high frequency. Our aim is to explain the main ideas of the theory to a broader audience. We introduce the concept of stable convergence, which is crucial for our purpose. We...

This paper aims to establish asymptotic normality of the local linear kernel estimator for quantile regression under near epoch dependence, a useful concept in characterising time series dependence of extensive interests in Econometrics. In particular, near epoch dependence can cover a wide...