Dollarization brought price stability and higher economic growth to Ecuador. Nevertheless, unemployment remained stubbornly high. Two opposing forces explain this result: Sustained growth led to higher labor demand but price stabilization triggered substitution effects by cheaper intermediate...

This paper uses the semiparametric error correction model (Li and Wooldridge, 2002) and investigates the dynamics of wage, employment and labor efficiency after introducing five-day work week to the Korean labor market. Efficient working hour function is obtained by nonparametric method...

This paper derives series for capital utilisation, labour effort and total factor productivity (TFP) from a general equilibrium model with variable factor utilisation and labour adjustment costs. Impulse responses from the model show that firms initially respond to unanticipated shocks by...

The economy, either in whole or in part, is a policy space of networks, which are installed to better enable people to fulfill their potentials and to realize their aspirations. However, there are gaps in the knowledge for ensuring that this search for a great transition, in terms of the...

Logistic smooth transition and Markov switching autoregressive models of a logistic transform of the monthly US unemployment rate are estimated by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The Markov switching model is identified by constraining the first autoregression coefficient to differ across...

The presence of discontinuities in the January rounds of Philippine Unemployment Data from 1981-2006 is investigated by way of modeling these data as a noisy Compound Gauss-Markov Random Fields (CGMRF). The likelihood and prior hyper-parameters are respectively estimated with wavelet shrinkage...

We find that Okun's law provides a simple and accurate means of understanding and predicting changes in the unemployment rate in Australia. Okun's law also implies a rate of output growth consistent with stable unemployment, called the growth of potential output. Our estimates of potential...

The Article Studies The Predictive Capabilities Of Qualitative Assessments Of Employment Expectations Obtained From Business Tendency Observations Of Entrepreneurial Activity, Which Are Currently A Widespread Source Of Economic Information Both In National And International Practice. The Study...

Following the shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy may be significantly changed relative to the pre-pandemic world. One critical shift induced by the COVID-19 pandemic is a need for physical distance (at least 6 feet apart) between workers and customers. In this study, we examine the...

Near term forecasts, also called nowcasts, are most challenging but also most important when the economy experiences an abrupt change. In this paper, we explore the performance of models with different information sets and data structures in order to best nowcast US initial unemployment claims...