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We estimate a New-Keynesian macro-finance model of the yield curve incorporating learning by private agents with … prices of risk are important features of the data. These features are, therefore, included in our learning model. The model … is estimated on U.S. data using Bayesian techniques. The learning model succeeds in explaining the yield curve movements …
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New Keynesian theory identifies a set of principles central to the design and implementation of monetary policy. These …
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active learning possibilities has effects on the optimal interest rate rule followed by the central bank. For a wide range of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332701
Long-term bond yields contain a risk-premium, an important part of which is compensation for inflation risks. The substantial increase in the Fed funds rate in the mid-2000s did not raise long-term US Treasury yields due to the reduction in the term premium (so-called Greenspan conundrum) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584286
Based on market expectations reported by the Central Bank of Brazil for the SELIC interest rate, the IPCA inflation, the exchange rate (BRL/USD) and the growth rate of industrial production for four different forecasting horizons, this work analyzes the term structures of disagreement in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865624
, results depend on the learning scheme that is employed. Here, the learning scheme we investigate is that of least …-squares learning (recursive OLS) using the Kalman filter. A novel feature of a learning-based policy - as against the central bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075439