This paper analyzes the drivers and consequences of sudden stops of capital flows. It focuses on the impact of external vulnerability on the depth and length of sudden stop crises. The authors analyze 43 developing and developed countries between 1993 and 2006. They find evidence that external...

In instrumental variable regression, structural parameter estimation relies on knowledge of the correlation between the structural error and the instruments. The current practice is to assume that this correlation is zero. However, this assumption is unlikely to be satisfied in applied work. In...

Currently, the commonly employed instrumental variables strategy relies on the knife-edge assumption of perfect exogeneity for valid inference. To make reliable inferences on the structural parameters under violations of exogeneity one must know the true correlation between the structural error...

This paper introduces a novel way of differentiating a unit root from a stationary alternative. We write up the model consisting of zero and nonzero parameters. If the lagged dependent variable has a coefficient of zero, we know that the variable has a unit root. We exploit this property and...

Sovereign wealth funds have rapidly become significant international institutions. The performance of funds varies substantially across countries, but comprehensive and systematic analyses of funds have been hampered by the lack of transparency of most funds. The relative transparency of the...

Valid instrumental variables must be relevant and exogenous. However, in practice it is difficult to find instruments that are exogenous in that they satisfy the knife-edged orthogonality condition and at the same time are strongly correlated with the endogenous regressors. In this paper we show...

This paper proposes a group bridge estimator to select the correct number of factors in approximate factor models. It contributes to the literature on shrinkage estimation and factor models by extending the conventional bridge estimator from a single equation to a large panel context. The...