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In recent years China has experienced two forms of extreme macroeconomic imbalance: an expenditure imbalance in the sense of very high investment and very low consumption, giving rise to rapid capital accumulation; and an imbalance between expenditure and production, producing external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123488
This paper examines the statistical nature of the persistency of current account balances and its determinants. With the assumption that stationary current account series ensures the long-run budget constraint while countries may experience 'local non-stationarity' in current account balances,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096404
This paper examines the impact of sectorial reforms on current account imbalances, with a special focus on the People's Republic of China (PRC). In particular, we investigate to what extent reforms pertaining to the financial sector, social protection, and healthcare may contribute to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098393
The paper tests whether the increasing current account deficit has negative impact on American economy and society. Using data for American economy in years 1967-2005, it will be shown that perceived welfare effects, as measured by levels of Consumer Confidence, asymmetrically reflect volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100763
From 1960-2009, the U.S. current account balance has tended to decline during expansions and improve in recessions. We argue that trend shocks to productivity can help explain the countercyclical U.S. current account. Our framework is a two-country, two-good real business cycle (RBC) model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103623
, after the regime-shift cause by the dollar float, was misplaced. Based on the theory of the Intertemporal Optimisation Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104389
This paper presents a taxonomy of major macro-economic determinants of Australia's current account deficit during the operation of the crawling and floating exchange rate regimes during the decade 1977-1986. The econometric analysis of the impacts of external and internal shocks provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104565
This paper studies current account reversals in industrial countries across different exchange rate regimes. There are two major findings which have important implications for industrial economies with external imbalances: first, triggers of current account reversals differ between exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082531
The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs), on the other hand, face substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082925
Origins and implications of twin deficits occurrence in a large scale of countries seems to be a center of rigorous empirical as well as theoretical investigation for decades. The reality of persisting fiscal and current account deficits became obvious in many advanced as well as advancing,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071451