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: forecasting accuracy, forecast bias, and forecasting efficiency. Analysts' data are based on I/B/E/S. Our analysis shows the rapid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158239
and improve at a slower rate during the forecast period. Further, cash flow forecasts appear to be a naïve extension of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158692
forecast properties. The evidence shows that analysts' earnings forecast accuracy is higher and the forecast dispersion is … higher forecast accuracy and less forecast dispersion in the non-Big Five auditor sample but not in the Big Five auditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224291
revisions exceeds that which is implied by their earnings forecast revisions alone, indicating that analysts increase their … discount rate estimates after misstatements. Discount rate revisions have a larger effect than earnings forecast revisions upon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312824
We examine whether management earnings forecast errors exhibit serial correlation and how analysts understand the … serial correlation property of management forecast errors. Management forecast errors should not exhibit serial correlation … if managers efficiently process information in prior forecast errors and truthfully convey their earnings expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131832
when analysts forecast negative or large changes in EPS. We also compare the accuracy of a third forecast of longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116514
Studying the determinants of management forecast precision is important because a better understanding of the factors … affecting management’s choice of forecast precision can provide investors and other users with cues about the characteristics of … disclosures, they need to better understand how managers choose among forecast precision disclosure alternatives. Using 16 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206856
This paper details efforts at developing and estimating a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) econometric model representative of the financial statements of a firm. Although the model can be generalized to represent the financial statements of any firm, this work was carried out as a case study, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211147
We document an improvement in analysts’ forecast accuracy following increased sector ETF ownership. We identify a …, analysts have an opportunity to re-optimize their attention to firm-specific information and improve forecast accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351350
We propose a novel method to forecast corporate earnings, which combines the accuracy of analysts' forecasts with the … their long-term performance. Our model outperforms the most popular methods from the literature in terms of forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854157