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reliance does not translate into an increased impact per unit of each non-fundamental factor on forecast bias. Finally, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857242
Prior research shows that disagreement leads to speculative trading and a speculative premium in stock prices. We examine how managers respond to this speculative premium. Using exogenous variation in speculative trading due to the reconstitution of the Russell 1000/2000 indices, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838034
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
We propose a modification to the Dechow and Dichev (2002) model (DD hereafter) by replacing realized next-period cash flows with forecasted future cash flows. We first theorize the relation between the modified- and original DD model and that between abnormal accruals from the modified DD model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007971
Studying the determinants of management forecast precision is important because a better understanding of the factors … affecting management’s choice of forecast precision can provide investors and other users with cues about the characteristics of … disclosures, they need to better understand how managers choose among forecast precision disclosure alternatives. Using 16 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206856
We examine the adoption effect of ASC 606 on revenue informativeness, analyst forecast dispersion, and forecast errors … forecast accuracy and consensus. Such adoption effects are mainly temporary and focused in firms that are more affected by the … informativeness and lower analyst forecast error than firms using the modified retrospective method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405038
We substantially improve cross-sectional earnings forecast models, such as Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012), by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405879
) we show in a practical manner that models converge to the same results based on real data of analysts forecast consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018528
This paper studies whether illiquidity affects the predictability of fundamental valuation variables. Firm-level, cross-sectional analyses show that returns of illiquid stocks contain less information about their firm's future earnings growth compared to those of more liquid stocks. A natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940517
This paper details efforts at developing and estimating a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) econometric model representative of the financial statements of a firm. Although the model can be generalized to represent the financial statements of any firm, this work was carried out as a case study, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211147