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This paper analyzes the cause-and-effect relationships between the Fed’s balance sheet and consumer prices, and between the federal government debt and the Fed’s balance sheet during the period 2008Q1to 2021Q4. Although contemporaneous Fed purchases of public and private sector debt and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078639
.4 trillion to $8.8 trillion. The analysis presented in this paper indicates that an inflation-asset elasticity of 0.042 accounted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079757
wake of the global financial crisis. The analysis reveals that an inflation-asset elasticity of 0.084 under Chairman Powell …’s tutelage accounted for more than 90 percent of the increase in consumer prices, compared with an inflation-asset elasticity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014029954
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318918
This paper applies linear and neural network-based "thick" models for forecasting inflation based on Phillips …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319342
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic … quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by … distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time of forecasting is above or below the target. The forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230748
We test for state-dependent bias in the European Central Bank's inflation projections. We show that the ECB tends to … underpredict when the observed inflation rate at the time of forecasting is higher than an estimated threshold of 1.8%. The bias is … most pronounced at intermediate forecasting horizons. This suggests that inflation is projected to revert towards the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532443
Inflation is one of the most challenging macroeconomic objectives capable of frustrating every pragmatic effort at … achieving other macroeconomics goals if not curtailed. To this end, the paper empirically examines the threshold inflation rate … a least square multivariate approach to estimate a threshold level of inflation. Further, error correction modeling (ECM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009705751
This paper investigates the relationship between public expenditure growth and inflation in the United States of … America using the co-integration analysis and Granger Causality Model applied to Time Series Annual Data from 1970-2002. The … results indicate that public expenditure and inflation are co-integrated and thus there exist a long-run equilibrium relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199054