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Common Stationary and Non-Stationary Factors in the Euro Area Analyzed in a Large-Scale Factor Model
Eickmeier, Sandra - 2016
In this paper we rely on techniques recently developed by Bai and Ng (2004a) to estimate common euro-area stationary and non-stationary factors using a large-scale dynamic factor model. We find that euro-area economies share four non-stationary factors or trends and one stationary factor. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991334
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Common stationary and non-stationary factors in the euro area analyzed in a large-scale factor model
Eickmeier, Sandra - 2005
In this paper we rely on techniques recently developed by Bai and Ng (2004a) to estimate common euro-area stationary and non-stationary factors using a large-scale dynamic factor model. We find that euro-area economies share four non-stationary factors or trends and one stationary factor. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295670
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Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models : An Application to European Inflation
Fiorentini, Gabriele - 2015
We generalise the spectral EM algorithm for dynamic factor models in Fiorentini, Galesi and Sentana (2014) to bifactor models with pervasive global factors complemented by regional ones. We exploit the sparsity of the loading matrices so that researchers can estimate those models by maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014990
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Exports and capacity constraints : evidence for several euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2015
We argue that, under certain conditions, firms consider exports as a substitute for domestic demand. Our econometric model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300368
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Measuring the impact of exchange rate movements on domestic prices : a cointegrated VAR analysis
Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben; Louhichi, Waël - 2014
This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR) framework. This issue is of particular interest for the euro area (EA) as Member Sates cede their national currencies and no longer have options of using monetary policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346364
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A Stable Model for Euro Area Money Demand : Revisiting the Role of Wealth
Beyer, Andreas - 2009
In this paper we present an empirically stable money demand model for Euro area M3. We show that housing wealth is an important explanatory variable of long-run money demand that captures the trending behaviour of M3 velocity, in particular its shift in the first half of this decade. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155103
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Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated VAR Models : With Applications to the Demand for Euro Area M3
Warne, Anders - 2021
The paper considers a Bayesian approach to the cointegrated VAR model with a uniform prior on the cointegration space …. Building on earlier work by Villani (2005b), where the posterior probability of the cointegration rank can be calculated … the marginal likelihood identity is used for calculating these probabilities, a point estimator of the cointegration space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317369
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Expected money growth, Markov trends and the instability of money demand in the euro area
Kaufmann, Sylvia; Kugler, Peter - 2007 - This version: December 2007
with a switching intercept term. Of course, this likely leads to a rejection of cointegration by standard tests and to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570250
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How Synchronized are Central and East European Economies with the Euro Area? Evidence from a Structural Factor Model
Eickmeier, Sandra - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991315
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How Synchronized are New EU Member States with the Euro Area? Evidence from a Structural Factor Model
Eickmeier, Sandra; Breitung, Jörg - 2007
A high degree of cyclical synchronization between the new EU member states (NMS) from central and eastern Europe and the euro area is generally seen as a prerequisite for successful EMU enlargement. This paper investigates comovements between NMS and the euro area. We first establish stylized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064585