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inflation, output, and long-term interest rates, central banks in small open economies face peculiar challenges in their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288324
role played by inflation expectations and the money supply shocks during major oil shock episodes. These shocks partially …The paper adds money supply and inflation expectations shocks to a well-known three-variable structural model that … supply and to inflation expectations significantly increase real oil prices; with the unadjusted M1 aggregate there is no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014295388
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013282457
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013282458
We develop a vector autoregressive framework that combines an external instrument and heteroskedasticity for the identification of monetary policy shocks. We show that exploiting both types of information sharpens structural inference, allows testing both the relevance and exogeneity condition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041145
combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626
Simple models of monetary policy often imply optimal policy behavior that is considerably more aggressive than what is commonly observed. This paper argues that such counterfactual implications are due to model restrictions and a failure to account for multiplicative parameter uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584195
We develop a vector autoregressive framework for combining the information in an external instrument with the information in the second moments of the data to identify latent monetary shocks in the United States. We show that the framework improves the identification of the structural model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880710
permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price level if a central bank anchors long-run inflation expectations. In line … the price level to a temporary risk shock are permanent. Our theoretical discussion shows that adopting a credible long …-run price level target rather than a long-run inflation target avoids these permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340556
shocks and uncertainty about the central banker's and the medianvoter's inflation target. A contract which is based on self …-imposed monetary target announcements proves to be superior to the best monetary rule if conflicts about the inflation target within …-imposed targets depends on the type of conflict within society, whether the individuals disagree on the weight of the inflation versus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743270