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This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372798
Monte Carlo experiments show that sign restrictions systematically overshoot inflation responses to the said shock, so we … recovers the transmission of the shock, whereas exclusion restrictions show large sensitivity to the assumed monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011337610
A central question for monetary policy is how asset prices respond to a monetary policy shock. We provide evidence on … restrictions. The impulse responses show a positive asset price response to a contractionary monetary policy shock. The resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563120
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822501
We use microdata to estimate the strength of price selection - a key metric for the effect of monetary policy on the real economy. We propose a product-level proxy for mispricing and assess whether products with larger mispricing respond with a higher probability to identified monetary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547543
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315462
, significant welfare losses. Losses increase further when inflation is partly determined by lagged inflation in the Phillips curve …. Targeting positive inflation rates reduces the frequency of a binding lower bound, but tends to reduce welfare compared to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319182
and does not require targeting a positive average rate of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319797
-term nominal yields over long horizons. The remaining driver of long-term yields are changes in inflation expectations induced by … conventional, autoregressive shocks. Long-term inflation expectations implied by our model are in line with those based on survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009116