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To verify whether an empirical distribution has a specific theoretical distribution, several tests have been used, for example: Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Kuiper. These tests try to analyze if all parts of the empirical distribution has a specific theoretical shape. But, in a Risk Management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726546
A common statistical problem in finance is measuring the goodness-of-fit of a given distribution to real world data. This can be done using distances to measure how close an empirical distribution is from a theoretical distribution. The tails of the distribution should receive special importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772335
Adverse weather related risk is a main source of crop production loss and a big concern for agricultural insurers and reinsurers. In response, weather risk hedging may be valuable, however, due to basis risk it has been largely unsuccessful to date. This research proposes the Levy subordinated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903939
The focus of this paper is on predictive analytics regarding data scarcity and credibility, which are major difficulties facing the agricultural insurance sector often due to limited loss experience data for those infrequent, but, extreme weather events. A new relational data-matching model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855492
In actuarial practice, regression models serve as a popular statistical tool for analyzing insurance data and tariff ratemaking. In this paper, we consider classical credibility models that can be embedded within the framework of mixed linear models. For inference about fixed effects and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054067
This paper re-examines, at a range of investment horizons, the asymmetric dependence between hedge fund returns and market returns. Given the current availability of hedge fund data, the joint distribution of longer-horizon returns is extracted from the dynamics of monthly returns using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755247
We place the asset value credit portfolio model in the larger context of generalized correlation models where the normal distribution assumption of asset returns is replaced by an abstract elliptical distribution. Based on closed-form solutions for homogenous portfolios, we show in particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739796
Non-homogeneous post-processing is often used to improve the predictive performance of probabilistic ensemble forecasts. A common quantity to develop, test, and demonstrate new methods is the near-surface air temperature frequently assumed to follow a Gaussian response distribution. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847486
Non-homogeneous regression models are widely used to statistically post-process numerical ensemble weather prediction models. Such regression models are capable of forecasting full probability distributions and correct for ensemble errors in the mean and variance. To estimate the corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762435
Some signal waveforms are very fast dampening oscillatory time series composed of exponential functions. The regular least squares fitting techniques are often unstable when used to fit exponential functions to such signal waveforms since such functions are highly correlated. Of late, some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048386