sense that it understands and observes the process by which private sector inflation expectations are generated, and one in … which the central bank has to learn the private sector inflation forecasting rule. Here, the learning scheme we investigate … accommodates private sector inflation expectations) is no longer constant across the disinflation, but becomes state …

This paper aims at assessing the impact of inflation targeting on actual inflation when considering inflation … perceptions together with interrelated inflation expectations, modifying the seminal papers of Barro and Gordon (1983a and 1983b …). The modeling of inflation perceptions and of inflation expectations follows suggestions of recent literature, but also …

inflation, we examine models of inflation that do and do not use the output gap. The Phillips curve, which relates inflation to … real activity, is regarded as the maintained theory of inflation. Models of inflation without the output gap include the … paper examines ten different models of inflation and estimates sixty-seven different specifications, some of which …

This paper aims at assessing the impact of inflation targeting on actual inflation when considering inflation … perceptions together with interrelated inflation expectations, modifying the seminal papers of Barro and Gordon (1983a and 1983b …). The modeling of inflation perceptions and of inflation expectations follows suggestions of recent literature, but also …

A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969 …. Private sector learning about policymaker type leads to a reputation state variable. We use model inflation forecasting rules … to extract state variables from SPF inflation forecasts. US inflation is tracked by optimal policy without commitment …

This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations …

We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …

We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers …’ inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and … long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information …

This paper studies the causal effect of inflation literacy on inflation expectations and trust in the central bank …, we first test the effect of non-numerical information about inflation and monetary policy, the literacy treatment. In the … the literacy treatment, incorporate quantitative information differently into their inflation forecasts. We find that the …

The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement in the US can be summarized by two components: disagreement … about the trend inflation, and disagreement about the cyclical inflation. While the former has identical impacts on … forecasting horizons. Only the cyclical inflation disagreement has a significant impact on monetary policy efficacy. High …