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In this study, the relation between consumer credit and real economic activity during the Great Moderation is studied in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Our model economy is populated by two different household types. Investors, who hold the economy’s capital stock, own the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417174
, because neither theory nor evidence supports faith in the existence of a stable cointegrating vector. - Housing Wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771774
U.S. households' debt skyrocketed between 2000 and 2007, but has since been falling. This leveraging and deleveraging cycle cannot be accounted for by the liberalization and subsequent tightening of mortgage credit standards that occurred during the period. We base this conclusion on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085644
, because neither theory nor evidence supports faith in the existence of a stable cointegrating vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038374
Macroeconomic models often invoke consumption "habits" to explain the substantial persistence of macroeconomic consumption growth. But a large literature has found no evidence of habits in the microeconomic datasets that measure the behavior of individual households. We show that the apparent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918032
We offer a structural interpretation of survey measures of consumer confidence. Our approach is based on a simple forward-looking model of consumption. The model decomposes observed consumption uctuations in changes due to fundamentals, and changes due to temporary errors caused by noisy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581510
We study asset pricing with consumption frictions. Frictions in consumption include adjustment costs which prevent a consumer from adjusting consumption freely, due to transaction costs, commitments, search and learning costs, and psychological costs. The stochastic discount factor is determined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236647
How can we measure the welfare benefit of ongoing stabilization policies? We develop a methodology to calculate the welfare cost of business cycles taking into account that observed consumption is partially smoothed. We propose a decomposition that disentangles consumption in a mix of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291884
According to the permanent income logic, individuals form expectations about their ability to produce in the long run and decide how much to consume today according to their forecasts.This paper documents that deviations of current consumption from its permanent level warranted by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312348
In this study, we set up a DSGE model with upward looking consumption comparison and show that consumption externalities are an important driver of consumer credit dynamics. Our model economy is populated by two different household types. Investors, who hold the economy's capital stock, own the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041964