This paper sheds new light on the mutual relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns corresponding to the bubble component of stock prices. We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead-lag relation between these variables. The wavelet phase angle...

Over the course of the last decade, the price of gold has exploded. Recently, however, prices started to fall again. The reversal of this trend has spurred a heated debate between proponents and opponents of gold as an investment. Using time series analysis, we further examine the role of gold...

With the aid of econometric modeling, I investigate whether rapidly increasing house prices necessarily imply the existence of a bubble that will eventually burst. I consider four alternative econometric methods to construct indicators of housing market imbalances for the US, Finland and Norway....