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Rethinking Optimum Currency Area Theory : Endogenous Synchronisation of Shocks in Europe
Garcia, José - 2018
This work aims to assess whether the hypothesis of endogenous synchronisation of shocks is verified in the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). A state-space model, which yields time-varying coefficients, is estimated with structural demand and supply shocks to several European economies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917260
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Business cycle synchronization : a regional perspective
Beck, Krzysztof - 2014
Turmoil in euro area once more forces EU authorities to rethink future of further monetary integration. One of the most commonly used criterions for successful monetary in contemporary research is business cycle synchronization (BCS). Though BCS has been vastly described at country level, not as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012011034
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Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area
Hauzenberger, Niko; Böck, Maximilian; Pfarrhofer, Michael - 2018
assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent … consequences jointly, and most are based on single country models. We analyze the special case of a shock restricted to the Euro … for all countries over a period of roughly a year following an uncertainty shock. Moreover, equity prices, short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
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Assessing the optimality of euro adoption in Romania through shock correlations
Bodea, Adrian - In: European journal of government and economics : EJGE 10 (2021) 2, pp. 107-127
shock correlations between Romania and many other European economic entities, while also isolating the effect of post 2005 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174010
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Business cycle correlation between the Euro area and the Balkan countries
Gouveia, Sofia - In: International journal of economic sciences and applied … 7 (2014) 1, pp. 33-49
This paper examines the degree of trade integration and business cycle synchronisation between eight Balkan countries and the Euro area over the period 2000:1-2011:4. The main findings are that Slovenia and the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exhibit a high level of openness relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459812
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A new optimum currency area index for the euro area
Kunovac, Davor; Rodriguez Palenzuela, Diego; Sun, Yiqiao - 2022
We propose a new and time-varying optimum currency area (OCA) index for the euro area in assessing the evolution of the OCA properties of the monetary union from an international business cycle perspective. It is derived from the relative importance of symmetric vs. asymmetric shocks that result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375123
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On the (de)stabilizing effects of news shocks
Winkler, Roland C.; Wohltmann, Hans-Werner - 2009
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a backward-looking component. In addition to these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003870635
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On the (de)stabilizing effects of news shocks
Winkler, Roland; Wohltmann, Hans-Werner - 2009
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility in any purely forward-looking model, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, the results are ambiguous when including a backward-looking component. In addition to these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872035
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The effect of asymmetries in fiscal policy conducts on business cycle correlation in the EU
Rozmahel, Petr; Grochová, Ladislava Issever; Litzman, Marek - 2014
The paper examines the effects of asymmetries in fiscal policy conduct upon the correlation of business cycles in the European Union. In particular the paper estimates the effects of fiscal indiscipline and dissimilarity on business cycle correlation in the period 1996-2012 using a panel of 27...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429842
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On optimal currency areas and common cycles : are the acceding countries ready to join the euro?
Grimm, Louisa; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2021
The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499619