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semimartingales. Based on this new sampling scheme we propose a class of volatility estimators named renewal based volatility … based volatility estimators are consistent and jump-robust estimators of the integrated variance of a general semimartingale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116287
We present a general framework for optimal nonparametric spot volatility estimation based on intraday range data … together with a coupling-type argument to directly tailor the form of the nonparametric estimator to the specific volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405699
Academic research on nonparametric "spot" volatility inference often relies on high-quality transaction data that are … volatility at a given time point. Under a standard infill asymptotic setting for Ito semimartingale price process, we show that … conventional spot volatility estimator based on high-frequency returns. An empirical illustration is provided, which documents the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230417
We employ extreme value theory to identify stock price crashes, featuring low-probability events that produce large, firm-specific negative outliers in the conditional distribution. Traditional methods employ approximations under Gaussian assumptions and central moments. This is inherently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350318
We consider estimation of the historical volatility of stock prices. It is assumed that the stock prices are … significant. We suggest some supplements to the existing non-parametric methods of volatility estimation. Two modifications of the … standard summation formula for the volatility are derived. In addition, a lineartransformation eliminating the appreciation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094098
-variance analysis of alternative investments has been hampered by the lack of a systematic treatment of volatility in these markets … underlying volatility. For example, in art markets, auction houses often give price guarantees to the seller that resemble put … the price index, allowing to treat the volatility parameter as the object of interest. The model can be estimated using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318789
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
individual effects on economic growth and volatility using the power-ARCH framework with annual data since the 1890s. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440609
This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient parametric models, such as AR or GARCH, whose coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635965
This paper extends Imbens and Manski’s (2004) analysis of confidence intervals for interval identified parameters. For their final result, Imbens and Manski implicitly assume superefficient estimation of a nuisance parameter. This appears to have gone unnoticed before, and it limits the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739665