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areas of India, and that farmers respond more strongly to the forecast where there is more forecast skill and not at all … when there is no skill. We show, using an IV strategy in which the Indian government forecast of monsoon rainfall serves as … compared with farmers without access to forecasts. Even modest improvements in forecast skill would substantially increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782148
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populations, provided recipients use forecast information to update climate expectations. We test whether pastoralists in southern … Ethiopia and northern Kenya update their expectations in response to forecast information. The minority of herders who received …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014182022
populations, provided recipients use forecast information to update climate expectations. We test whether pastoralists in southern … Ethiopia and northern Kenya update their expectations in response to forecast information and find that they indeed do, albeit … of their livelihood rather than an inability to process forecast information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065092
The paper develops empirical implementations of the standard time-varying Panel Bayesian VAR model to deal with confounding and latent effects. Bayesian computations and mixed hierarchical distributions are used to generate posteriors of conditional impulse responses and conditional forecasts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948481
areas of India, and that farmers respond more strongly to the forecast where there is more forecast skill and not at all … when there is no skill. We show, using an IV strategy in which the Indian government forecast of monsoon rainfall serves as … compared with farmers without access to forecasts. Even modest improvements in forecast skill would substantially increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001837340
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884085
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465188
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