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In 2019 and the early months of 2020, global trade faced two major albeit very different shocks, namely the United States-China trade war and the cascading response of the countries around the world to the COVID-19 pandemic. While the former situation involved a pair of centrally-placed trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828361
Global merchandise trade expanded rapidly over the last 6 1/2 decades and its relationship with global income has seen ebbs and flows. This paper examines the shifts in this relationship using time series data over 1950-2014 and situates it in the current and longer term context. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977826
In this paper we investigate how supply and demand shocks in one country affect output volatility in other countries. While the evidence for cross-country transmission of demand shocks is mixed, we find that volatile supply in one country leads to larger imports and output volatility in other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960182
intensity of this exposure depends on the transmission channel, type of external shock, specialization of each country and … domestic public policies. All the countries of the sample are at least exposed to one international shock. 13 countries are … exposed to real GDP OECD per capita shock, 10 countries to harmonized inflation in OECD countries. Of 7 countries that export …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963199
strong indirect effects that exceed by far the initial shock from direct trade links, reflecting China's integration into a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654218
In recent years, rising food prices have returned as a concern for policy makers especially in developing countries. In this context, this paper examines how supply shocks, both domestic and foreign, have mattered to imports and consumption in the global rice market over 1960-2010. Such an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076448
This paper examines the effects on the exports of Estonian firms of the Russian export shock of 2014, which was a … multifaceted negative market-wide income shock. The dataset covers all the Estonian exporters that exported to Russia in 2013 and … better export performance after the shock than direct exporters were. The trade performance after the shock was lower for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313436
This paper investigates the asymmetries in trade spillovers from sector-specific technology shocks in China to selected euro area countries. We use a Ricardian-gravity trade model to estimate sectoral competitiveness in individual euro area countries. Simulations on the impact of productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098585
In the midst of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, trade and economic growth face new challenges as the Russian Federation’s large-scale war against Ukraine has increased uncertainty and tensions along supply chains and the People’s Republic of China’s trade performance has fallen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491268
level to a temporary risk premium shock are larger and more persistent when the ZLB is binding. Our theoretical discussion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010495243