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the tax multiplier is sensitive to the assumption of orthogonality between total factor productivity (non-fiscal proxy …) and tax shocks. If this correlation is assumed to be zero, the tax multiplier is found to be around one. If such … correlation is non-zero, as supported by our empirical evidence, we find a tax multiplier three times as large. Second, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828436
By accounting for the structural heterogeneity between northern and southern economies, this paper estimates fiscal multipliers resulting from shocks to current public expenditure, total public revenues and public investment in Italian regions. The estimation is carried out by estimating a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312350
, this letter points out a downward bias in the estimation of Chinese government spending multiplier using the classical lag … significantly reacts to output shock counter-cyclically within a quarter, with the resulting government spending multiplier being 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323898
-year multiplier of 2 during uncertain periods. In contrast, the multiplier is about 1 in times of high unemployment and about 0:5 - 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438126
consumption and the government spending multiplier, given that consumption and labor are somewhat complementary. -- Trend growth … ; price and wage staggering ; government spending multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008821669
the European Commission's Spring Forecasts, we show that multiplier estimates in the EU have been overestimated in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307864
a Markov switching process. We find that the average government spending multiplier is significantly and persistently … inversely to their error variance. We then show that the multiplier is significantly smaller when volatility is high, consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012289271
between multiplier size and the import share. Employing an interacted panel VAR model for EU countries, we estimate the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270412
The aim of this paper is to estimate government consumption multiplier and to examine the effect of various … characteristics of countries on the size of fiscal multiplier. We apply a panel VAR model following Ilzetzki et al. (2013) for a … multiplier is larger than unity. Second, the size of fiscal multiplier is larger in the cases of lower public indebtedness, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021817
variance in multiplier estimates can be explained by the national imprint and various author incentives. For this purpose, we … matter for the degree and direction of multiplier estimates. These potential biases largely disappear for teams of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029022