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, the expenditure associated with military build-ups affects primarily the defense sector so that the resulting multiplier … powerful instrument for identifying government spending shocks. Furthermore, we show that the multiplier pertaining to non …-defense government spending is higher than the defense-spending multiplier estimated in the literature using military build-ups …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097432
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102258
When governments loose investors' confidence, additional public spending and the resulting increase in public debt would push-up risk-adjusted interest rates in a more aggressive way. A regression model on a panel of 26 EU countries over the period 1996-2011 shows that a 10 percentage point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103445
The concept of fiscal multipliers is examined, in the context of the major theoretical approaches. Differing methods of calculating multipliers are then recounted (structural equations, VAR, simulation). The sensitivity of estimates to conditioning on the state of the economy (slack, financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087640
A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088164
We estimate the fiscal multiplier associated with shocks to government spending. We consider increases in government … is reflected in the value taken by the fiscal multiplier. This result is obtained when we identify fiscal shocks by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000433
multipliers for the United States. With these results, it computes the cumulative multiplier of Ramey and Zubairy (2018), now … multiplier is much larger than the cumulative spending one. Hence, the conclusions depend on the definition of multiplier. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840611
response of private consumption than in a model with perfect insurance. The output multiplier is further amplified through a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843281
The literature on the government spending multiplier has implicitly assumed that an increase in government spending has … approach, or (ii) a timing restriction, we find that the contractionary multiplier – the multiplier associated with a negative … multiplier – the multiplier associated with a positive shock – is substantially below 1 regardless of the state of the cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952314
is that the balanced budget multiplier for Paraguay i.e. the effect of on output of an increase in expenditures (in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957837