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In this article, we test whether an isolated information campaign can deter criminals by appealing to their apprehension risk perception. A randomized trial was conducted around 154 high crime housing blocks in Bogotá. With support of the Colombian Police, half of the blocks were exposed to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913547
An experiment tested whether and in what circumstances people are more likely to believe an event simply because it makes them better off. Subjects observed a financial asset's historical price chart, and received both an accuracy bonus for predicting the price at some future point, and an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118752
This paper offers a simple but powerful model of wishful thinking, cognitive dissonance, and related biases. Choices maximize subjective expected utility, but beliefs depend on the decision maker's interests as well as on relevant information. Simplifying assumptions yield a representation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127398
This paper discusses a recently published handbook on neuroeconomics (Glimcher et al., 2009H) and extends the discussion to reasons why this newly emerging discipline should be of interest to behavioral accounting researchers. We evaluate the achieved and potential contribution of neuroeconomics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130281
The focus of this study is on black markets which provide an important segment of the parallel economy. These markets operate in disequilibrium,search and information costs become very important.Trafficking in drugs taken as case, to explore both theoretically and empirically. The problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229963
What matters to economic decision-making is whether the economy has become more or less predictable. People and businesses use information around them to form judgements about what might happen in the future. The rise in uncertainty might be associated with increased concern about extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015264417
Uno de los aspectos de la pobreza que no ha sido explorado empíricamente es aquel que tiene que ver con las aspiraciones económicas, entendidas como el deseo o la pretensión de un mayor ingreso futuro. Mediante modelos probit ordenados y estimación por máxima verosimilitud se busca...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105157
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
The essay analyzes the decision process in economics and its relationship with the concept of rationality starting from the theory of rational choice, that is, a systemic approach based on the formal axiomatic method applied mainly in the microeconomic field, which has become the heart of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871313