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low-paid workers' submarkets. The model fits the job finding, job separation, and unemployment rates well. It also … of the aggregate shock that allows generating the US labor market fluctuations has a correlation with unemployment that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697332
A new test for hysteresis based on a nonlinear unobserved components model is proposed. Observed unemployment rates are … cyclical unemployment to have a different impact on the natural rate depending on the regime of the economy. The impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189791
-Mortensen-Pissarides model. Log linearization under- states the mean and volatility of unemployment, but overstates the volatility of labor … market tightness and the magnitude of the unemployment-vacancy correlation. Log linearization also understates the impulse … responses in unemployment in recessions, but overstates the responses in the market tightness in booms. Finally, the second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801599
The unemployment rate in Australia is modelled as an assymmetric and non-linear function of aggregate demand …, productivity, real wagesand unemployment benefits. Negative changes in aggregate demand cause the unemployment rate to rise rapidly …, while real wage rigidity contributes its to slow adjustment back towards a lower level of unemployment. The model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149371
This paper investigates the nonlinearity in the effects of news shocks about technological innovations. In a maximally flexible logistic smooth transition vector autoregressive model, state-dependent effects of news shocks are identified based on medium-run restrictions. We propose a novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967392
strong support for concave shaped unemployment-gap and output-gap based Phillips curve specifications. Given the specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488773
Asymmetric behavior has been documented in post-war quarterly U.S. unemployment rates. This suggests that improvement …-inducing transformation is applied to the nonstationary unemployment rate series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073181
The recent global financial crisis illustrates that financial frictions are a significant source of volatility in the economy. This paper investigates monetary policy stabilization in an environment where financial frictions are a relevant source of macroeconomic fluctuation. We derive a measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049145
unemployment and vacancies fluctuationsbut their role is limited for output fluctuations. Third, labour market relaxation policies … have onlymarginally contributed to the reduction in unemployment. Last, accounting for wage rigiditiesinfluences labour …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306257
We propose a multivariate Bayesian state space model to identify potential growth and the output gap consistent with the dynamics of the underlying production sectors of the economy and those of inflation and the labor market. Our approach allows us to decompose economic fluctuations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427292