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This paper builds a model-based dynamic monetary and fiscal conditions index (DMFCI) and uses it to examine the evolution of the joint stance of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro area (EA) and in its three largest member countries over the period 2007-2018. The index is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828229
as a whole and in Germany, Italy and France. In line with findings for the US and the UK, results here show that this lag … suggest that a drop in German inflation persistence and a shift in the mean of inflation - particularly in Italy and France …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320116
We study the design of optimal monetary policy (Ramsey policies) in a model with sticky prices and unionized labour markets. Collective wage bargaining and unions monopoly power tend to dampen wage fluctuations and to amplify employment fluctuations relatively to a DNK model with walrasian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811855
the Eurozone (EZ) balance of payments. Several aspects arise. LTRO program launched at the end of 2011 served to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047170
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991350
I use the valuation equation of government debt to understand fiscal and monetary policy in and following the great recession of 2008-2009, to think about whether the US is headed for a fiscal inflation, and what that inflation will look like. I emphasize that a fiscal inflation can come well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116066
I construct a simple model with sticky prices and interest rate targets, closed by fiscal theory of the price level with long-term debt and fiscal and monetary policy rules. Fiscal surpluses rise followingperiods of deficit, to repay accumulated debt, but surpluses do not respond to arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842421
The fiscal theory of the price level can describe monetary policy. Governments can set interest rate targets and thereby affect inflation, with no change in fiscal surpluses. The same basic mechanism describes interest rate targets, forward guidance, open market operations, and quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945308
Sargent and Wallace (1981) published "Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic" 40 years ago. Their central message was that a central bank may not have the power to determine the long-run rate of inflation without fiscal support. In a policy regime where the fiscal authority is non-Ricardian, an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219615