Newly installed President Estrada is confronted by the same unenviable situation as his two predecessors. Former President Aquino has presided over an economy battered by the external debt crisis while President Ramos battled the aftermath of the Gulf war. The new administration, on the other...

After the onset of the East Asian financial crisis, the interest in early warning system has been revived. While there are different causes to which crises can be attributed, early warning system can be utilized to predict its emergence via monitoring of key economic variables. Thus,...

This study reviews the economic policies and performance of the Philippine economy in the 1990s, briefly assesses the macro- and microeconomic impacts of the Asian financial crisis, describes the measures adopted by the government in response to the Asian financial crisis, and discusses the...

The East Asian miracle of the 1960s up to the mid 1990s and the East Asian debacle in 1997 put into perspective two crucial factors that affect sustainable economic growth and development. The first is outward orientation necessary for increasing the competitiveness of an economy and second is...

The basic framework of the PIDS Annual Macroeconometric Model is presented in this paper. After outlining the general philosophy of the model, the discussion focuses on the production sector of the model in order to trace the manner by which macroeconomic policies affect relative prices and...

The level of capital flows to developing countries had increased dramatically over the decade prior to the 1997 Asian financial crisis. In terms of composition, private capital flows dominated official flows beginning in 1992. The surge in private capital flows to emerging market economies was a...

The strong recovery of the five crisis-affected countries of East Asia between 1999 and 2000 has revived the debate on the causes of the 1997 financial crisis. Initially there had been an emerging consensus that the crisis had originated from the capital account. However, some analysts see the...

Dollarization denotes the use of a foreign currency in any of its three functions: unit of account, means of exchange and store of value. In terms of the latter aspect, dollarization has been increasing in the Philippines. Empirical tests that confirm the significance of dollarization are...

The recent spate of banking and currency crises has underscored the need to develop early warning systems. These are based on economic indicators of vulnerability, which can be identified from models and theories of crises. First generation models focus on the inconsistency of macroeconomic...

Criticism against large-scale macroeconometric models built in the tradition of the Cowles Commission approach began to mount in the late 1960s. These misgivings were subsequently reflected in the Lucas critique, Sims critique and disenchantment with the model's Keynesian foundations. In...