The transition from Asian financial crisis into employment and income loss is analyzed in details by using a structural path analysis (SPA) and a price endogenous model of computable general equilibrium (CGE) type. Indonesia is taken as a case study. It is revealed that the damage in the real...

The phrase financial contagion draws on a concept whose root meaning lies in the field of epidemiology. Like almost all metaphors, this one has the power to illuminate and to mislead. Its referent is the spread of financial distress from one firm, market, asset class, nation, or geographical...

In this work we investigate how a number of crises have affected most of the stock markets in the world. First, we apply Time Series Factors Analysis (TSFA) in order to reduce the dimensionality of the series under study and obtain a lower number of factors that can be related to regions. Then...

We create a network of bilateral correlations of changes in sovereign bond yields and individual bank equity price changes since 2000. We extract some stylized facts from this network of asset price correlations and document the clear differences in asset price correlations between safe havens...

We analyze the cross-border propagation of systemic risk in the international sovereign debt market. Using daily data on CDS spreads for 67 sovereign borrowers from 2002 to 2013 we define sovereign credit events as those in which the spread widens by more than 99.9% of all spread changes within...

Will the world run out of 'safe assets' and what would be the consequences on global financial stability? We argue that in a world with competing private stores of value, the global economic system tends to favor the riskiest ones. Privately produced stores of value cannot provide sufficient...

Currency and financial turmoils in international capital markets have been the focus of an extensive theoretical research which started around 30 years ago. This paper provides a synthetic overview of this theoretical modeling. We analyze the basic analytical framework corresponding to the...

With a four-stage sequential game model, we analyse two bailout policies, one when the government commits ex-ante and another, in which it does not, both to an optimal bailout. We study if each of these policies ameliorate the effects of liquidation on fundamentals, reduce the likelihood of...

This working paper is written by J. Scott Davis (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas), Michael B. Devereux (University of British Columbia) and Changhua Yu (Peking University).We model sudden stops in a small open economy as rare discrete events precipitated by increases in the world risk-free rate....