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We investigate whether the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks vary with the level of uncertainty. Using postwar US data and a Self-Exciting Interacted VAR (SEIVAR) model, we find that fiscal spending has positive output effects in tranquil times but is contractionary during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268062
We investigate whether the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks vary with the level of uncertainty. Using postwar US data and a Self-Exciting Interacted VAR (SEIVAR) model, we find that fiscal spending has positive output effects in tranquil times but is contractionary during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116248
An n-variable structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) can be identified (up to shock order) from the evolution of the … process. I propose a new identification argument that identifies the SVAR up to shock orderings using the autocovariance … structure of second moments of the residuals implied by an arbitrary stochastic process for the shock variances. These higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926201
In this paper, we analyse the effects of the stimulus packages adopted by the German government during the Great Recession. We employ a standard mediumscale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model extended by nonoptimising households and a detailed fiscal sector. In particular, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804350
on the recursive approach of Caldara and Kamps (2008). The estimation results suggest that (i) the government expenditure … shock has positively contributed to Australia's economic growth; (ii) the shock has also had positive effects on price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097912
Does the state of the business cycle matter for the effects of fiscal policy shocks on GDP? This study analyses quarterly German data from 1976 to 2009 in a threshold SVAR, expanding the SVAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002). In a linear benchmark SVAR, the analysis finds that hiking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991046
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991162
Euro Area economies to a one percent shock in government consumption and business confidence. The evidence suggests that … even though the response to a government consumption shock is strong, a shock in expectations has an even greater effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760247
This preliminary study characterizes the dynamic effects of shocks in government spending and taxes on macroeconomic variables in Pakistan. It employs a five variable structural Vector Auto regression model covering the time period 1973:1-2008:4 for the variables GDP, inflation, the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242638
quarter) and quarterly logarithmic real variables are used for the VAR´s specification. Point estimation of impulse response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110679