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We lay out a small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with Markov switching to study the term structure of interest rates. We extend the previous models by opening up the economy and adding a foreign demand channel. As a result, we explain the term structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414197
An important research area of the corporate yield spread literature seeks to measure the proportion of the spread that … to explain the proportion of yield spreads caused by the risk of default in the context of a reduced form model. For this … estimated with credit default swaps are higher, in many cases doubling those found with corporate yield spreads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136262
volatility by applying Linear Realization Theory. Two realization algorithms, Standard Observable Canonical Realization and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976784
We examine return premia associated with the level, slope, and curvature of the yield curve over time and across …, when applied to bonds, provide a rich description of bond return premia: subsuming pricing information from the yield curve …'s first three principal components, as well as priced factors unspanned by yield information, such as macroeconomic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958136
of modified yield duration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
We use no arbitrage models with macro variables to study the interaction between the macroeconomy and the yield curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039147
The yield to maturity (YTM) or internal rate of return (IRR) is a metric used in financial analysis to estimate the … coupon payments can be reinvested at a rate equal to the yield to maturity, (ii) that the bond is held to maturity. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314598
This paper studies the behavior of corporate bond spreads during different market regimes between 2004 and 2016. Applying a Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) model, we document that the dynamic impact of spread determinants varies substantially with market conditions. In periods of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979160
We revisit the concept of the cost of hedging inflation risks put forward in Bodie (1976). When doing so, we employ a time-varying vector autoregressive model to describe the dynamics of asset returns. We estimate this model by means of the kernel-based methods discussed in Giraitis et al....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842461
We construct a no-arbitrage term structure model with jumps in the entire state vector at deterministic times but of random magnitudes. Jump risk premia are allowed for. We show that the model implies a closed-form representation of yields as a time-inhomogeneous affine function of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005585