We present the structure and properties of an aggregate model for the European Union, consisting of 34 equations estimated on annual data aggregated over the twelve-member EU, ranging from 1960 to 1997. Estimation was performed by a two-stage procedure taking into account the possible presence...

Using an aggregate econometric model for the EU we investigate by simulation methods some dynamic paths of the European economy in the next five years under alternative hypotheses concerning the growth of world demand, the European currency/USD exchange rate, and the monetary policy.