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futures and options to hedge their exposure to commodity price and volatility risk; speculators provide liquidity and ask for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035319
rollover dates. Index providers are careful in choosing their roll methods in order to minimize volatility and maximize the … respective continuous futures series. We compare roll methodologies to see whether they have similar volatility and efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964964
An anchoring-adjusted option pricing model is developed in which the volatility of the underlying stock return is used … as a starting point that gets adjusted upwards to form expectations about call option volatility. I show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033252
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
primarily due to the pricing of market volatility risk. When volatility risk is priced, expected option returns match the … differential impact of the volatility risk premium on expected option returns, we also find that the market volatility risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862697
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343837
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535531
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091156
This study decomposes a momentum factor (MOM) in the commodity futures market. A high-to-price (HTP) factor generates a higher Sharpe ratio than a price-to-high (PTH) factor. We uncover that the profitability mechanisms across three momentum factors are different. The positive returns on MOM and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403618
Options on crude oil futures are the most actively traded commodity options. We develop a class of computationally efficient discrete-time jump models that allow for closed-form option valuation, and we use crude oil futures and options data to investigate the economic importance of jumps and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850215