We have received a number of queries recently from market researchers concerning our methods in order to determine the underlying wage process, with particular regard to the correction of whitening. The whitening estimation methods we have developed have been described in outline in the boxed...

Over the last decade, the microstructure approach to exchange rates has become very popular. The underlying idea of this approach is that the order flows at different levels of aggregation contain valuable information to explain exchange rate movements. The bulk of empirical literature has...

The stock price is assumed to follow a jump-diffusion process which may exhibit time-varying volatilities. An econometric technique is then developed for this model and applied to high-frequency time series of stock prices that are subject to microstructure noises. Our method is based on first...

In this paper data-driven algorithms for fitting SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999) are proposed. The algorithms combine the data-driven estimation of the nonparametric trend and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters. For selecting the bandwidth, the proposal of Beran and Feng (1999) based...

To estimate cell probabilities for ordered sparse contingency tables several smooth- ing techniques have been investigated. It has been recognized that nonparametric smoothing methods provide estimators of cell probabilities that have better performance than the pure frequency estimators. With...

Confidence intervals and tests for the location parameter are considered for time series generated by FEXP models. Since these tests mainly depend on the unknown fractional differencing parameter d, the distribution of d plays a major role. An exact closed form expression for the asymptotic...

The problem of predicting 0-1-events is considered under general conditions, including stationary processes with short and long memory as well as processes with changing distribution patterns. Nonparametric estimates of the probability function and prediction intervals are obtained.

This paper proposes a semiparametric approach by introducing a smooth scale function into the standard GARCH model so that conditional heteroskedasticity and scale change in a financial time series can be modelled simultaneously. An estimation procedure combining kernel estimation of the scale...

In this paper a modified double smoothing bandwidth selector, ^h MDS , based on a new criterion, which combines the plug-in and the double smoothing ideas, is proposed. A self-complete iterative double smoothing rule (^h_IDS ) is introduced as a pilot method. The asymptotic properties of both...