Showing 141 - 150 of 649,328
This paper studies a problem of choice under uncertainty in which a decision-maker's (DM) choices randomly map to consumption outcomes. The primitive is a binary relation on menus, where a menu is a set of possible ex post outcomes. After the DM selects a menu, nature (not the DM) makes a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126867
This chapter reviews developments in the theory of decision making under risk and uncertainty, focusing on models that … “linearity in the probabilities” aspect of expected utility theory to game theory. The chapter consists of two main parts: The …-dependent utility models and cumulative prospect theory. The second part reviews theories of decision making under uncertainty that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
This chapter provides a critical review of the theories of decision making under risk and under uncertainty and the notion of choice-based subjective probabilities. It includes formal statements and discussions of the various models, including their analytical frameworks, the corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025531
Building on the Herstein-Milnor mixture set axiomatization of expected utility theory, we employ multiple mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081339
Shackle was one of the representative critics of probability calculus. His alternative decision theory was … interpretation of Shacklean theory by focusing on the common stage structure of the decision-making. This paper shows that the … different formal structure, and to provide a new interpretation of Shacklean decision theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013415895
to misspecification, and ultimately leads to post-decision disappointment. Using statistical decision theory, we develop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487318
We investigate whether violations of canonical axioms of choice under risk are mistakes or a manifestation of true preferences. First, we elicit axiom and gamble preferences and then allow subjects to revise their potentially conflicting preferences. Among the behavioral patterns that allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556632
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070877
Anscombe and Aumann (1963) offer a definition of subjective probability in terms of comparisons with objective probabilities. That definition - which has provided the basis for much of the succeeding work on subjective probability - presumes that the subjective probability of an event is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259255
Beauchêne, Li, and Li (2019) show that ambiguous persuasion leads to new interim equilibria with higher ex ante value for the Sender compared to the standard Bayesian persuasion. However, in their equilibrium the strategy of the Receiver is in general not ex ante optimal. This note, defines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009891