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Most decisions concerning (self-)insurance and self-protection have to be taken in situations in which a) the effort exerted precedes the moment uncertainty realises, and b) the probabilities of future states of the world are not perfectly known. By integrating these two characteristics in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486991
We propose and axiomatically characterize a representation of ambiguity sensitive preferences. The distinguishing feature of our axiomatization is that we do not require preferences to be event-wise separable over any domain of acts. Even without any such separability restrictions, we are able...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491097
This paper studies how updating affects ambiguity-attitude. In particular we focus on the generalized Bayesian update of the Jaffray-Phillipe sub-class of Choquet Expected Utility preferences. We find conditions for ambiguity-attitude to be the same before and after updating. A necessary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009514770
In this paper we consider the effect of ambiguity on the private provision of public goods. Equilibrium is shown to exist and be unique. We examine how provision of the public good changes as the size of the population increases. We show that when there is uncertainty there may be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003246054
expected utility theory. First, Ellsberg performed no actual experiments, and in fact recent empirical evidence on the Ellsberg … expected utility theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129111
This paper studies an economy where agents trade using a shared language, so that they do not need to meet in person with goods physically present. Agents provide vague descriptions of proposed net trades, which we interpret as arising either from inherent limitations in what the agents can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100429
A decision maker (DM) is asked to make choices from a set of acts, which entail both risk and uncertainty in the sense of knight (1921). Extending Raiffa's (1961) argument I show that, provided the DM can choose acts objectively randomly (by flipping her own fair coin, for instance), provided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101803
Machina (2009, 2012) lists a number of situations where standard models of ambiguity aversion are unable to capture plausible features of ambiguity attitudes. Most of these problems arise in choice over prospects involving three or more outcomes. We show that the recursive non-expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106219
This paper focuses on information acquisition and individual decision making in ambiguous situations and presents a novel experimental design which may help to tackle open questions from a fresh perspective. Instead of giving subjects the choice between risky and ambiguous Ellsberg urns, we let...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073252
There are two phenomena in behavioral finance and economics which are seemingly unrelated and have been studied separately; overconfidence and ambiguity aversion. In this paper we are trying to link these two phenomena providing a theoretical foundation supported by evidence from an experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038229