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Longshots, overconfidence and efficiency on the Iowa Electronic Market
Berg, Joyce E.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 1, pp. 271-287
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300620
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When algorithms import private bias into public enforcement : the promise and limitations of statistical debiasing solutions
Altenburger, Kristen M.; Houser, Daniel - In: Journal of institutional and theoretical economics : JITE 175 (2019) 1, pp. 98-122
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057211
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Better calibration when predicting from experience (rather than description)
Camilleri, Adrian R.; Newell, Benjamin R. - In: Organizational behavior and human decision processes : … 150 (2019), pp. 62-82
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990691
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A parsimonious explanation of observed biases when forecasting one's own performance
Meeran, Sheik; Goodwin, Paul; Yalabik, Baris - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 1, pp. 112-120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596479
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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
relationship between a change in trend growth rates and forecast bias, as suggested in the literature, breaks down when only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
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A comment on the bias of probabilities derived from betting odds and their use in measuring outcome uncertainty
Štrumbelj, Erik - In: Journal of sports economics 17 (2016) 1, pp. 12-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422895
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A fully Bayesian tracking algorithm for mitigating disparate prediction misclassification
Short, Martin B.; Mohler, George O. - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 3, pp. 1238-1252
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465280
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Momentum and market volatility : a Bayesian regime-switching model
Cao, Jia; Copeland, Laurence S. - In: The European journal of finance 29 (2023) 5, pp. 483-507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322539
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Rounding bias in forecast uncertainty
Levenko, Natalia - In: Research in economics : an international review of economics 74 (2020) 4, pp. 277-291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590377
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Information, prices and efficiency in an online betting market
Elaad, Guy; Reade, J. James; Singleton, Carl - In: Finance research letters 35 (2020), pp. 1-6
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438379