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Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression
Demetrescu, Matei; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M. - In: Journal of econometrics 227 (2022) 2, pp. 429-460
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013442118
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Aggregation bias in tests of the commodity currency hypothesis
Bork, Lasse; Rovira Kaltwasser, Pablo; Sercu, Piet - In: Journal of banking & finance 135 (2022), pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013401953
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Forecast combination for VARs in large N and T panels
Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 1, pp. 142-164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347744
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Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets
Angelini, Giovanni; De Angelis, Luca; Singleton, Carl - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 1, pp. 282-299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347790
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Forecasting the real prices of crude oil : a robust weighted least squares approach
Wang, Yudong; Hao, Xianfeng - In: Energy economics 116 (2022), pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013542061
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Long-run predictability tests are even worse than you thought
Hjalmarsson, Erik; Kiss, Tamás - In: Journal of applied econometrics 37 (2022) 7, pp. 1334-1355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473977
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Unintended Look-Ahead Bias in Out-of-Sample Forecasting
Yae, James - 2022
Out-of-sample tests are subject to look-ahead bias when a forecaster constructs a model using an intuition derived from … quantitatively demonstrates the unintended look-ahead bias in out-of-sample tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309736
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Momentum and market volatility : a Bayesian regime-switching model
Cao, Jia; Copeland, Laurence S. - In: The European journal of finance 29 (2023) 5, pp. 483-507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322539
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Reference class selection in similarity-based forecasting of corporate sales growth
Theising, Etienne; Wied, Dominik; Ziggel, Daniel - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 5, pp. 1069-1085
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338812
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Forecasts as repeated cheap talk from an expert of unknown statistical bias
Valsecchi, Irene - 2023
For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes announcements more extreme than his forecasts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390247