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Aggregation in the presence of data processing lags distorts the information content of data, violating orthogonality restrictions that hold at the individual level. Though the phenomenon is general, it is illustrated here for the life cycle-permanent model. Cross-section and pooled-panel data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102241
consumption theory in the West, in relation to the question of whether and how income distribution affects aggregate consumption …, thereby showing that the relative income hypothesis (RIH) is the only consumption theory that is consistent with the existing … theory per se and in relation to the discussion of whether China's growing income inequality has adversely affected its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108889
We develop an asset pricing model with external habit formation. The model predicts that the effect of consumption shocks on the equity premium depends on the business cycle. We test this empirical implication using a VAR model of the U.S. postwar economy whose parameters are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109086
that allows for random preference shocks and additive separability. The latter feature allows us to take two estimation … some restrictive assumptions on the model that are not required for the first estimation approach. Thus, the two different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084085
We study whether households can distinguish persistent from transitory income shocks, and the implications for consumption-saving behavior. We construct a novel consumption-saving model where the household must infer the persistent component of its income process from actual income realizations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928282
We analyse life-cycle saving decisions when households use simple heuristics, or rules of thumb, rather than solve the underlying intertemporal optimization problem. We simulate life-cycle saving decisions using three simple rules and compute utility losses relative to the solution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009375746
-Standard Theorie des Haushaltskonsums, die Relative Einkommenshypothese, zurück. Es wird argumentiert, dass steigende …, saving, and debt for the 1920s by applying a non-standard theory of consumption, the relative income hypothesis, to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289390
The budget constraint requires that, eventually, consumption must adjust fully to any permanent shock to income. Intuition suggests that, knowing this, optimizing agents will fully adjust their spending immediately upon experiencing a permanent shock. However, this paper shows that if consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887404
It is shown how one can effectively use cross-section data in modelling the change over time in aggregate consumption expenditure of a heterogeneous population. The starting point of our aggregation analysis is a dynamic behavioral relation on the household level. Based on certain hypotheses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539806
The current account in developed countries is highly persistent and volatile in comparison to output growth. The standard intertemporal current account model with rational expectations (RE) fails to account for the observed current account dynamics together with persistent changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011868970