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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777806
While Bayesian methods have attracted considerable interest in actuarial science, they are yet to be embraced in large-scaled insurance predictive modeling applications, due to inefficiencies of Bayesian estimation procedures. The paper presents an efficient method that parallelizes Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951368
During the COVID-19 pandemic, economists have struggled to obtain reliable economic predictions, with standard models becoming outdated and their forecasting performance deteriorating rapidly. This paper presents two novelties that could be adopted by forecasting institutions in unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349370
Several studies on heritability in twins aim at understanding the different contribution of environmental and genetic factors to specific traits. Considering the National Merit Twin Study, our purpose is to correctly analyse the influence of the socioeconomic status on the relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969727
We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a histogram-type prior with piecewise constant realisations on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014117474
In the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, some risk management practitioners have advocated wider adoption of … Bayesian inference to replace Value- at-Risk (VaR) models in order to minimize risk failures. Despite its limitations, the … [increasingly] Bayesian—continues to be a key methodological foundation of risk management and regulation-related risk modeling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263882
The relationship between risk and return is one of the most studied topics in finance. The majority of the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010365633
Regression analyses of cross-country economic growth data are complicated by two main forms of model uncertainty: the uncertainty in selecting explanatory variables and the uncertainty in specifying the functional form of the regression function. Most discussions in the literature address these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382708
The relationship between risk and return is one of the most studied topics in finance. The majority of the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794305