To produce regional climate scenarios, traditionally, the statistical downscaling has been considered as an alternative to dynamical downscaling. However, the use of the two kinds of downscaling approaches together consents, at least to some extent, to combine their advantages. This report...

This document describes the numerical models and tools constituting the integrated system for the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the hydrogeological risks due to climate change developed in the framework of the GEMINA project (product P91). In particular the work package 6.2.17...

In Turco et al. (2013a, [19]), three MOS methods (Linear-Scaling, Quantile-Mapping and MOS Analog) have been proposed and they have shown skill to downscale daily precipitation outputs of the ERA40-driven COSMO-CLM model over three Italian domain (Orvieto, Po river basin, Sardinia). This study...

This document is aimed to show the main results of climate projections, under two RCPs, at 2100 obtained in WP A.2.6 “High-resolution climate scenarios” on the geo-hydrological hotspots identified within WP A.2.17 “Analysis of geo-hydrological risk related to climate change” of GEMINA...

Climate shows a natural variability that influences the dynamics of river discharges. In particular, intense precipitations would cause floods, while prolonged dry periods are associated to droughts phenomena. In the Mediterranean area, climate change is expected to increase the frequency of...

Here the concept of return period is discussed in terms of the stationarity of the process. If the process is stationarity the concept of return period is well defined and ambiguities do not arise. If the process is non stationary, as it could be any climate driven phenomenon under climate...

This paper provides the main results about the validation of the modeling chain used to estimate the variation in geo-hydrological hazard induced by Climate Changes (CC); it represents one of the milestone for year 2014 of GEMINA project within the work package A.2.17. In particular, the work...

The present study summarised the dataset available used for climate and hydrological studies in China. The main aim is to identify the possible sources of climate and hydrological datasets to be used to validate the hydrological outputs of a GCM/RCM climate model and/or of a coupled...

Climate and land cover are the main regulators of discharge formation. We combined here 5 alternative land cover case with 2 different precipitation scenarios. Land cover scenarios are: (a) present land cover according to CORINE 2006 maps, (b) ICES scenario at 2050, (c) IMAGE scenario at 2050,...

Between the 24th and the 26th of December 2013 Northern Italy was interested by heavy and diffuse precipitations events. The same stormy event, called "Christmas storm", interested all European area producing numerous damages and diseases especially in France and UK. The aim of the present...