Showing 11 - 20 of 27
Changes in climatic forcings on the Mediterranean area are foreseen by many global and regional models. Long-term temperature variations are expected to affect snow dynamics, thus impacting on the timing of the hydrologic response in Alpine catchments. Several authors agree in predicting a shift...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014142583
In this paper we analyze some caveats found in the state-of-the-art ENSEMBLES regional projections dataset focusing on precipitation over Spain, and highlight the need of a task-oriented validation of the GCM-driven control runs. In particular, we compare the performance of the GCM-driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011000224
We analyse the observed climate-driven changes in summer wildfires and their future evolution in a typical Mediterranean environment (NE Spain). By analysing observed climate and fire data from 1970 to 2007, we estimate the response of fire number (NF) and burned area (BA) to climate trends,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950429
We analyse the impact of climate interannual variability on summer forest fires in Catalonia (northeastern Iberian Peninsula). The study period covers 25 years, from 1983 to 2007. During this period more than 16000 fire events were recorded and the total burned area was more than 240 kha, i.e....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010634441
The aim of the report within GEMINA project is to present a methodology to probabilistically derive peak flood distribution from the statistical representation of extreme rainfall at the fixed durations of 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 hours over an area of interest. The methodology provides an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014170705
This work presents the conditioned upscaling procedure applied in the Po-FEWS system by Hydrology area of ARPA SIMC Emilia Romagna to select the rainfall daily scenarios which better fit seasonal meteorological forecasts. Seasonal meteorological forecast provides qualitatively useful information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014153082
The aim of this report within GEMINA project is to outline a procedure to detect inhomogeneity, shift, and trends in observed time series. The analysis of hydrological extremes will help to gain insight in the effects at regional/local scale of climate conditions. The same approach will be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014162244
In this paper, the capabilities of COSMO CLM on simulating the main features of the observed climate over the whole Mediterranean area have been analyzed. The investigated period is 1971-2000. A simulation driven by ERA40 Reanalysis has been performed at a spatial resolution of 14 km in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014162213
This paper analyzes the capabilities of the regional climate model COSMO-CLM to simulate the main features of the observed climate over the entire Italian domain. Two simulations on the period 1971-2000, driven by ERA40 Reanalysis and by the CMCC-MED global model respectively, have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014162214
The aim of this report is to analyze the sensitivity of the precipitation and the 2-meters mean temperature on the variation of some physical, numerical and tuning parameters in the regional climate model COSMO-CLM over the north and center Italy. The simulations, at a spatial resolution of 8 km...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014162218